2020 Sierran federal election

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2020 Sierran federal election

← 2016 May 1, 2020 2025 →

All 276 seats in the House of Commons and 26 (of 77) regular seats in the Senate
139 seats needed for a majority in the House of Commons
Opinion polls
Registered 43,350,082
Turnout 37,819,301

  First party Second party Third party
  Aubrey Plaza by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Yang-mimi.jpg Gurbir S. Grewal.jpg
Leader Nemesis Heartwell Maggie Chan Ravinder Didbal
Party Royalist Democratic-Republican Libertarian
Leader since October 18, 2017 October 16, 2017 December 13, 2013
Leader's seat South Greater Bernheim West San Jose Spring Valley
Last election 110 seats, 39.37% 108 seats, 39.13% 32 seats, 11.59%
Seats won 70 71 14
Seat change 40 37 18
Popular vote 9,609,884 9,681,741 2,011,986
Percentage 25.41% 25.60% 5.32%
Swing -13.96 pp -13.53 pp -6.27 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Susan Kwon.png Charlie Cox by Gage Skidmore.jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction.jpg
Leader Susan Kwon Jonathan Mueller Maximilien Lavallée
Party Social Democrats Green Christian Democratic
Leader since December 10, 2017 April 28, 2016 June 16, 2018
Leader's seat Tenderloin Grand Appleton None
Last election 17 seats, 6.20% 9 seats, 4.83% 0 seats, 0.0%
Seats won 73 12 32
Seat change 56 3 32
Popular vote 10,566,968 1,565,719 3,868,915
Percentage 28.02% 5.15% 10.23%
Swing +21.82 pp +0.32 pp

2020 Sierran federal election map.svg
A map presenting the results of the election, by party of the MP elected from each constituency.

Prime Minister before election

Nemesis Heartwell
Royalist

Elected Prime Minister

Susan Kwon
Social Democrats

The 2020 Sierran federal election for the 78th House of Commons was held on Friday, May 1, 2020. According to the Fixed Legislative Session Act of 2005, the election was required to be held no later than 1825 days (five years) after the previous election on December 16, 2016, making the latest possible date on December 15, 2021. However, on February 19, 2020, due to the political consequences and fallout of the Red Rock Castle crisis, the House of Commons approved a motion to call early elections by a vote of 141 for the motion and 134 against the motion. A third of the Senate's 77 regular senatorial seats are also scheduled for reelection in 2020. The election was originally scheduled for April 3, 2020 but was postponed by an entire month due to concerns of the COVID-19 pandemic. Both constitutional and federal laws did not require that House and Senate elections be held concurrently unless there is a double dissolution. However, due to prevailing convention, the Senate passed a motion to hold a simultaneous election on the same date as the House's snap election.

All 276 members of the House of Commons were elected through mixed-member proportional representation from 250 first-past-the-post constituencies and 26 proportional party lists. To secure a majority, a government needed to win 139 seats. Since no party has reached a majority since the 1983 election, the winning party would prevail by achieving a plurality and would need the support of two or more parties or a formal confidence and supply arrangement with another party that would agree to abstain from votes of confidence and budget.

Analysts and pollsters had predicted that the Royalists will likely lose a large share of its seats and that the Conservative coalition between the Royalists and Libertarians may not be able to sustain a coalition government. Similarly, the Democratic-Republicans are projected to lose a number of seats in the elections. Media coverage has focused on the potential rise of the Social Democrats and the Christian Democrats.

The election resulted in a Social Democratic plurality of 3 seats, acquiring a net gain of 56 seats in the process, one of the largest electoral gains in Sierran history. The party won 28.02% of the popular vote. The election has been called a realigning election as it saw major gains by third parties and major losses for the historically top three performing parties. The Royalist and Libertarian parties incurred substantial losses to the emerging Christian Democrats, including its stronghold in the Deseret and Eastern Interior Sierra. The Democratic-Republicans also loss various seats that were traditionally blue in the Styxie and Creole Coast to the Social Democrats.

Background[edit]

Prince George the Elder of Sonora was the subject of major controversy and was the catalyst towards the 2020 early election

Nemesis Heartwell began her premiership in October 2017, having taken over from Leslie Steele (who served as acting prime minister following the resignation of disgraced Prime Minister Daniel McComb due to sexual abuse allegations). Her party – the Royalist and Federalist Party of Sierra – had governed Sierra since the 2016 Sierran federal election in a coalition government with the Libertarians. Throughout Heartwell's premiership, she faced internal pressure in the House and public pressure to hold a general election. She has been accused of holding controversial positions or making controversial statements on immigration, nationalism, and foreign relations. Despite demands for an election by the opposition, she and her coalition resisted and claimed that McComb's electoral mandate in 2016 remained relevant and would not seek another election until the legally scheduled year of 2022.

In October 2019, there was a string of new evidence and allegations of sexual misconduct by Prince George the Elder of Sonora, who was the regent at the time. Following renewed protests and public outrage, the Prince Elder stepped down from his position as regent and returned the full powers and responsibilities of the Crown to his great-niece, Queen Angelina II. Over the next few months, the Occidental Palace was criticized for its meager response to the allegations. The Queen waived the royal immunities of the Prince Elder from civil and criminal prosecution, but did not strip the Prince Elder of his royal titles or disown him from the family. Starting in mid-December 2019, the Royal Bureau of Investigation and the Porciúncula Sheriff's Department began full-scale investigations on the Prince Elder and formally indicted the Prince Elder on January 8, 2020 on several felony charges including statutory rape and extortion. The Prince Elder fled to his personal estate, the Red Rock Castle in Summerlin, Clark where he was able to avoid arrest due to existing laws suspending all law enforcement actions against royals on the ground of official residences. The situation produced a constitutional crisis which came to be known as the Red Rock Castle crisis, which lasted a total of 8 days before the Prince Elder committed suicide on January 18, 2020.

Following the Prince Elder's death, public reaction was mixed and the Occidental Palace decided to hold a private funeral for the deceased royal rather than hold a state funeral out of respect for the alleged victims. Prime Minister Heartwell ordered a traditional 10-day of mourning which was criticized by opponents and critics due to the circumstances surrounding the Prince Elder and his alleged crimes. The RBI commenced an official inquest on the Prince Elder's death and stated it would continue ongoing criminal investigation on the royal despite the Prince Elder's death. Heartwell and the Royalist government faced mounting pressure to condemn the Prince Elder outright and to reduce the power and influence of the monarchy on the party. The Queen also faced backlash for her seeming unawareness of her late great-uncle's crimes and her family was accused of covering up some of his crimes, claims of which she flatly denied.

Republicanism resurged in national polls and online, especially in the Styxie where the region has historically been a hotbed for the issue. Increasing threats of violence or terrorist acts made against the monarchy and its supporters were also made. Former militant organizations such as the Sierran Liberation Army and the United Farmers' Front issued statements warning the possible return of violence experienced during The Disturbances. Supporters of the monarchy including the Sierran Jacobites also emerged in light of the crisis to rally in defense of the Crown. Various monarchist organizations condemned the attacks against the monarchy and sought to distance the Prince Elder and his alleged crimes from the rest of the Sierran Royal Family.

There were four failed attempts to call for an election prior to the Red Rock Castle crisis and one on January 22. Parliament insisted that Heartwell call for a snap election in order to reflect the prevailing political opinions and consensus of the people. Heartwell and the Conservative coalition rejected each call as "opportunistic" and stated that voters may be "temporarily inflamed and biased" by the recent events. After several Royalist and Libertarian MPs, including MP Todd Weiner (R) indicated they would consider joining the opposition in calling for an early election, Heartwell and parliamentary whips held an emergency meeting with partisan members on February 11 to sign a pledge to reaffirm their commitment to not vote for any motions of no confidence or motion for an early election.

In an attempt to compromise, Heartwell proposed an early election dated in February 2021, which would bring the date closer by more than a year than the previously scheduled election. This proposal was rejected and Leader of the Opposition Maggie Chan announced she had reached enough votes to call for an early election on February 17 and would go to bring the vote on February 19. Heartwell reportedly considered requesting the Crown to prorogue Parliament to delay the vote but did not consider it. On February 19, the motion to call for an early election was proposed before the floor following the end of the Prime Minister's Question session. The motion passed narrowly with 141 MPs voting in favor of the motion, 134 MPs voting against the motion, and 1 MP abstaining from the vote. All of the Democratic-Republicans, Social Democrats, and Greens voted in favor of the motion while the majority of Royalist and Libertarian MPs voted against the motion. 9 Royalists and 18 Libertarians crossed the aisle to support the motion. As the motion was binding, it passed on the same day it was proposed and was fast-tracked to the Senate which approved the measure despite some opposition from the Royalist-controlled chamber. Within hours of the Senate's approval, Prime Minister Heartwell formally presented the bill to the Queen for royal assent, which was granted and thereby became law as the Early Parliamentary Federal Election Act of 2020. The bill specified that the election would be held on Friday, April 3, 2020. A separate bill in the Senate was passed to move the scheduled election of Class III regular senators to be held concurrently on the same day as the House elections.

Electoral system[edit]

250 of the 276 members in the House of Commons are elected by first-past-the-post (FPTP) from single-member constituencies, while 26 members of Parliament are elected from open list proportional party representation for seats which are reserved for proportional representation. Voters will in effect, elect at least one candidate and a party on the same ballot. 26 of the 77 regular senators in the Senate (there are 125 senators overall including generally non-elected commissioned senators) are elected by first-past-the-post from two-member constituencies based on their class cycle. The current class of senators seeking reelection in 2020 are Class III as most have last seen election in 2014 (Class III senators who were elected in by-elections to fill vacancies between 2014 and 2020 must still contest in the 2020 election).

Date of the election[edit]

The Early Parliamentary Federal Election of 2020 declared that Friday, April 3, 2020 would be the date of the election. The deadline for candidates and parties to register is Friday, March 6, 2020. On Saturday, March 14, 2020, Queen Angelina II, based on the advice of the Privy Council, issued an edict to postpone the election until Friday, May 1, 2020, a whole month ahead of the original date. Other related deadlines were also rescheduled accordingly. Polling in most PSAs will open at 8 AM and close by 9 PM local time. A select number of polls in certain counties may close earlier or closer depending on the population size of the local precinct. The last polls to close will be in Hawaii which is 3 hours behind Porciúncula. The official results of the election is expected to be announced on the following day on Saturday, May 2, 2020, although full results may be delayed as far as Wednesday, May 6, 2020.

Voting eligibility[edit]

K.S. citizens eligible to vote must be registered by midnight on April 17, 2020 by mail (postmarked by that date) or online. Due to a moratorium against physical polling stations and ongoing stay-at-home orders, voters may only register in-person with the local Registrar of Voters office online or by mail up to the day of the election, postmarked by 8 PM before voting officially closes by 9 PM local time. To be eligible to vote, individuals have to be 18 years or over; residing as a Sierran citizen at an address in the Kingdom of Sierra (excluding all territories except the Channel Islands); and not legally excluded (on grounds as a convicted felon, a prisoner currently serving a sentence lasting longer than a year, a person committed to a mental hospital or institution longer than 3 months, or a fugitive of the law); or disqualified from voting.

Timetable[edit]

Wednesday, February 19, 2020 Passage of the Early Parliamentary Federal Election Act of 2020 through the House of Commons. Expedited passages of the same act and the Senatorial Election Alignment Act of 2020 through the Senate. Both passages receive royal assent and comes into force immediately. The act initially set for federal elections to be held on April 3, 2020.
Friday, February 21, 2020 Dissolution of Parliament and official start of the campaign. Beginning of the Heartwell caretaker government. Royal Proclamation summoning a new Parliament and setting the date for its first meeting issued.
Saturday, February 22, 2020 Receipt of writ – legal documents declaring election issued.
From Sunday, February 23, 2020 Notice of election given in constituencies.
Wednesday, February 26, 2020 Registration of participating parties and ballot access close.
Saturday, February 29, 2020 Nominations for candidates close.
Saturday, March 14, 2020 Crown issues edict to postpone elections by one month, from April 3, 2020 to May 1, 2020.
Thursday, March 26, 2020 Crown issues moratorium towards voting at physical polling locations. Election to be held entirely by mail-in ballots.

Retiring incumbents[edit]

The following members of the 78th House of Commons did not seek re-election.

Constituency Departing MP Party First elected Date confirmed
Central San Gabriel Allen Huang Democratic-Republican 1990 February 23, 2020
Kings Interior Far East Hank S. Brundy Royalist 1986 February 20, 2020
Southeast San Diego Rosalia Carmen-Rubio Democratic-Republican 1998 February 21, 2020
Surrey-Temescal Pedro Diaz Democratic-Republican 2004 February 23, 2020

Contesting political parties and candidates[edit]

Federal Sierra and Hawaii[edit]

Major parties (parties with multiple MPs at dissolution, those that currently have multiple MAPs, or have won more than 0.50% of the popular vote in the 2017 election) that contested this election in Federal Sierra and Hawaii are shown below with their results at the 2017 federal election, ordered by the number of seats they won.

Party Party leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election Seats at
dissolution
Contested seats
% of
votes
Seats
Royalist and Federalist Party Nemesis Heartwell October 2017 South Greater Bernheim 37.74% 117 110 276 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Democratic-Republican Party Maggie Chan October 2017 West San Jose 37.51% 113 108 271 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Libertarian Party Ravinder Didbal December 2013 Spring Valley 11.59% 32 32 244 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Social Democrats of Sierra Susan Kwon December 2017 Tenderloin 5.46% 9 17 269 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Green Party Jonathan Mueller April 2016 Grand Appleton 3.71% 5 9 255 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Christian Democratic Party Maximilien Lavallée June 2018 None 1.01% 0 0 238 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Communist Party Kenneth Morrison March 2012 None 0.89% 0 0 260 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Continentalist Party Zelda Winnifred August 2019 None 0.55% 0 0 186 seats in the Kingdom of Sierra
Hawaiian Sovereignty Party Kealoha Laenui September 2015 None 0.84% 0 0 8 seats in Hawaii

Deseret[edit]

A few number of Sierran political parties organize in the Deseret at the Kingdom-level but generally do not contest in local elections or the Deseret's own national elections. As such, the main political parties in the Deseret are different from the rest of the KS and most adhere and operate to a policy of abstentionism and do not take up any seats in Parliament to which they are elected. The largest political party, the People's Party, sends its elected MPs to Parliament as Royalists through a bipartisan agreement.

Party Party leader(s) Leader since Leader's seat Last election (in the Deseret) Seats at
dissolution
Contested seats (out of 5)
% of
votes
Seats
People's Party Daniel J. Wells September 2016 None 84.56% 5* 5* 5
Honeybee Party Paul Bickerton April 2011 None 8.73% 0 0 0
Social Democrats Jocelyn Webster July 2019 None 4.21% 0 0 0
Mormon Independence Party Leroy Jeffs June 2016 None 2.98% 0 0 0

*The People's Party represents itself as Royalists in the National Parliament.

2017–20 MPs and senators standing under a different political affiliation[edit]

Eight MPs elected in 2017 (or a by-election between 2017 and 2020) contested this election for a different party or as an independent candidate; one stood for a different seat.

Outgoing MP 2017 party 2017 constituency 2020 party 2020 constituency
Maya Davis Democratic-Republican Knob Hill Social Democrats Union Square
Jimmy Fernandez Democratic-Republican Putian Social Democrats Putian
Nazareth Ontoria-Diaz* Democratic-Republican Murphy-Glendale Social Democrats Murphy-Glendale
John Seymour Royalist Little Antioch Democratic-Republican Little Antioch
Felix Sypher Democratic-Republican Bixby Social Democrats Bixby
Linda Truong Royalist Sarangnha South Christian Democratic Sarangnha South
Todd Weiner Royalist Sutter Democratic-Republican Sutter
Jake Ziegler Royalist Southeast Tahoe Christian Democratic Southeast Tahoe

*Elected in a 2018 by-election

Withdrawn or disowned candidates[edit]

Candidate Party Constituency Reason for withdrawal Date
Leslie Atkins Christian Democratic South Corona Anti-Catholic, anti-Mormon, homophobic, transphobic, and Islamaphobic comments February 23, 2020
Roger Berkowitz Communist South Central Porciúncula Comments made in support for KERO and bestiality February 23, 2020
Allison Stevens Democratic-Republican Rothenburg Hills Tweets that included references to "shooting babies", "punch every Jacobite piece of shit", and "burn down all monarchist homes" February 22, 2020
Fadhuma Raheem Democratic-Republican El Cerrito Prior antisemitic posts on Facebook February 23, 2020
Gus Walsh Royalist Conception Homophobic comments in 2018 February 23, 2020

Campaign[edit]

Campaign background[edit]

Heartwell accepting her leadership role of the Royalist Party in 2017

The Royalists and Democratic-Republicans have been the two largest parties and political rivals since the nation's founding in 1858 and have supplied every one of the country's prime ministers since 1924. The Royalists and Libertarians formed the Conservative coalition government in 2017 after the Royalists secured a plurality of seats in the House during the federal election that year. The electoral victory ended nearly eight years of Democratic-Republican control of the House following the assassination of Prime Minister Steven Hong and the subsequent crisis in the Styxie. The Royalists under the leadership of Daniel McComb campaigned on the issues of national security and anti-republicanism, and made significant gains in the Styxie where the Democratic-Republican Party has traditionally been strong. The several seats which switched seats became associated with Bluecoat Styxers. The election was seen as a damaging rebuff against the Democratic-Republicans which had grown divided between its traditionally conservative, blue-collar base and its emerging progressive, urban-class wing. McComb's premiership only lasted about a year before he was forced to resign due to serious sexual abuse allegations made against him. His deputy, Leslie Steele became the temporary working prime minister before the Royalists held a leadership election that declared Nemesis Heartwell as the winner.

During the premiership of Heartwell, she faced repeated challenges from the opposition due to her strongly nationalist, anti-immigrant rhetoric. She was accused of being a racist xenophobe and a contrarian to the New Culture for purportedly supporting white nationalism. She shifted the party further right socially by strengthening anti-abortion laws, pushing for school choice, rolling back anti-discrimination laws, supporting privatized prisons, passing tougher laws against drug and substance use, and backing prayer in public schools. Economically, she was highly protectionist and engaged in a trade war with China and the EU. She supported a number of tax cuts for businesses and pushed a bid towards deregulating Sierra's single-payer, multi-tier universal healthcare system. Heartwell also opposed Sierrexit despite the rise of Ameroskepticism within her own party and favored fostering closer ties with the CAS. Heartwell consistently resisted calling for early elections, asserting that McComb's electoral mandate in 2017 was valid and indicative with the popular will for the Conservative coalition. She survived five different attempts to call for an early election, one of which was a failed motion of no confidence led by Leader of the Opposition Maggie Chan.

During Heartwell's government, the Democratic-Republicans experienced growing division and disagreement within its rank-and-file membership. The party became noticeably more progressive and economically left due to growing voter registration among younger Sierrans and people of color. In addition, the party establishment faced competition with the rising popularity of the Social Democrats of Sierra, which explicitly rejected the Democratic-Republicans' modern affinity for neoliberal policies and favored social democracy and democratic socialism instead. The Social Democrats' new leader, Susan Kwon, rebranded the party under her Forwarding the Movement plan. Kwon's goal was to divorce the Sierran left from neoliberalism and the Democratic-Republican establishment by endorsing candidates who ran on a firmly leftist platform. She promoted radical politics as opposed to compromise politics with the Democratic-Republicans, causing tension between the two parties' tenuous alliance within the Progressive coalition.

New revelations of sexual abuse allegations made against Prince George the Elder of Sonora in October 2019 renewed controversy and criticism towards the Royalist government and the monarchy. The Occidental Palace's response to the Prince Elder was criticized for being slow and defensive initially. After the Prince Elder was formally indicted, he became a fugitive when he fled to Red Rock Castle and eventually committed suicide in early January 2020. A new wave of republican sentiment and protests against the monarch erupted, and the scandal caused a number of Royalist politicians to defect and join other parties, most notably the Christian Democrats.

Policy positions[edit]

Monarchism[edit]

Criticism of the monarchy has risen since the Red Rock Castle crisis and the issue of how the members of the royal family, specifically the late Prince George, were able to get close to sex offenders like Ethan Liebermann and accusations of the Crown doing nothing to expose him to hold him accountable for his crimes have lead to a major rise in republicanism. The New Republican Caucus of the Democratic-Republicans saw a rise in support and used the crisis to support their case against the monarchy and calls to make political republicanism part of the Democratic-Republican Party platform. The Royalists have been staunch defenders of the monarchy since the crisis with Heartwell running in defense of the Crown and accusing critics of "blatant ignorance and animosity towards a caring and beautiful young woman" according to a statement she gave in defense of Angelina II early on in the crisis. The issue of monarchism has since arisen and is set to become a major issue of the upcoming election with candidates expected to make a stance regarding their view of the monarchy with Heartwell of the Royalists supporting it and Kwon of the Social Democrats opposing it and calling for abolition.

Sierrexit[edit]

The topic of Sierrexit has been brought up in the upcoming federal election. Many organizations supporting Sierrexit, the hypothetical withdrawal of Sierra from the Conference of American States, have voiced criticism towards Nemesis Heartwell over her opposition to Sierrexit and refusal to allow a second referendum on Sierra's membership in the CAS. Following the June 2019 referendum ended with Sierra voting to remain a member of the CAS in accordance with the 2017 Conference of American States Membership Referendum Act proposed during the premiership of Daniel McComb. Heartwell has been steadfast in her opposition to Sierrexit and open support for increasing ties with CAS members and in an interview with the Bunker Hill Journal she said "Sierra will remain committed to its neighbors and isolation from them and the CAS will not benefit us. Besides, a referendum was held on CAS membership under my premiership and it ended with the unionists winning". The Democratic-Republicans, Social Democrats and Greens have been supporting American unionism and are opposed to a second referendum while the Libertarians have been divided on the issue. The Christian Democrats have not taken a stance on the issue arguing that greater issues take higher precedent over Sierrexit.

Environment and climate change[edit]

The topic of climate change and environmental protection has emerged to become one of the biggest issues of the election. The Royalist and Libertarian parties have been openly criticized for their lack of concern over the issue, refusal to address climate change and open support for fracking, de-regulation of fossil fuel companies, and refusing to allow Sierra to partake in the Seattle Climate Accords. The Green Party has been the most vocal in addressing climate change and its leadership has framed their campaign as one dedicated to addressing the issue. Green Party leader Johnathan Mueller has openly stated that the Greens will only participate in a coalition government, confidence and supply, or unified opposition if either the governing or opposition party is dedicated to addressing the issue. The Democratic-Republicans have stated that climate change will be one of their top issues and will address it if elected into power. The Social Democrats have also announced that they will address climate change and have Sierra sign onto the Seattle Accords with Susan Kwon stating that she and her party are supporting a stimulus package aimed at creating new jobs and reorganizing the Sierran economy away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy, a position that the Green Party has endorsed. The Royalists and Libertarians have been opposed to environmental regulation since the election with the Royalists arguing that proposed environmental protections inhibit economic freedom and innovation and seek to turn to the free market to find a solution to climate change with the Christian Democrats taking a similar position.

Coronavirus outbreak[edit]

The 2019–20 coronavirus outbreak became a major election issue after the confirmed cases of the coronavirus had risen to over 40 in Sierra by mid-February, and over 100 passengers on the quarantined Water Sheep docked at the Port of Grands Ballons Cruise Terminal were also tested positive when the election was announced. The previous coalition government proposed total travel bans and entry denials to all citizens from China, Korea, Japan, and Italy, regardless of travel history. The Royalist government has stated it is closely monitor individuals who been repatriated back to Sierra from China and international cruise ships such as the Diamond Princess. Heartwell initially stated that Sierrans had nothing to worry about the outbreak and claimed the disease would die off by spring due to "heat". The Democratic-Republican and Social Democrats supported temporarily restricting entry for foreign travelers who had recently traveled to the aforementioned places, but otherwise, allowing foreigners, including citizens from the most affected countries to come. All parties supported greater measures to prevent a potential outbreak in Sierra, to prepare for one, and to support funding for vaccine research and development against the virus.

After the outbreak was reclassified as a pandemic on March 11 by the World Health Organization, the Heartwell government issued a travel ban for all European countries that were members of the Schengen Area and considered setting up temporary border checks with Astoria and Brazoria. It also promised to create and distribute more than 1.5 million coronavirus testing kits across the country. Due to public pressure, the government also advised the temporary ban of public gatherings greater than 500 people. Various campaign events were cancelled as a result, although the move was lauded by fellow Royalists and party members of the opposition. The Democratic-Republicans proposed a federally mandated sick leave based on accruing an hour of sick pay for every 30 hours worked while the Social Democrats proposed a stronger version with a rate of sick pay for every 16 hours.

On March 14, the Queen, upon the advice of the Privy Council issued an edict to postpone the elections until Friday, May 3, 2020, moving the elections by four weeks ahead of the originally scheduled date. The decision was made a day after the government declared a state of emergency due to the coronavirus pandemic, which advised citizens to avoid large public gatherings and nonessential events. Prime Minister Heartwell and other leaders including Margaret Chan and Susan Kwon were in attendance of the Privy Council meeting. All parties supported the postponement of the elections as a necessary measure to prevent the spread of the disease. During the national emergency and subsequent stay-at-home orders, party officials and organizations suspended most electoral campaign events, fundraisers, rallies, and gatherings in order to comply with social distancing guidelines.

On March 24, Prime Minister Heartwell was tested positive with COVID-19 and entered into a 14-day quarantine as she experienced mild symptoms. Heartwell would later require hospitalization as a result of persistent symptoms. Other members of the government including Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Lee went under voluntary self-isolation due to possible exposure. The Queen and other members of the Royal Family were also tested but the test results came negative. On March 26, it was announced that Deputy Prime Minister Lee and Leader of the Senate Opposition were also tested positive with COVID-19. Both officials entered into extended quarantine and health monitoring by the RCDCP. On the same day, the Queen issued a moratorium against public voting and declared that all voting must be done through mail-in ballots due to nationwide social distancing and stay-at-home orders. The Royal Postal Service announced it would expedite mail containing voter information guides and official ballots to registered voters by April 12 or within 5 business days of online voter registration.

Tourneser Freedom Front insurgency[edit]

The Tourneser Freedom Front insurgency became a topic of great interest during the election and was one of the main issues related to foreign policy. The Montebello Peace Conference occurred about a month before the election and its results were considered only a partial success in deescalating the conflict, while fighting continued in Tournesol. In early March, a month before the election, the United Commonwealth sent troops to invade Tournesol, prompting a strong reaction from the Heartwell government who issued a 24-hour ultimatum against the United Commonwealth to withdraw its troops or risk military retaliation. The Royalists ran on a platform stating it would be a committed ally towards CAS member states including Superior and Brazoria, as well as defend "freedom in Tournesol". In compliance with the Montebello Peace Conference, the Royalists stopped short of supporting the Tourneser pro-democracy movement but vowed to apply pressure against the current Continentalist regime for electoral and political reforms.

The Democratic-Republican Party adopted a similar stance towards the conflict, emphasizing its dedication towards protecting the national sovereignties of Sierra's allies and opposing the United Commonwealth's "belligerence" in the continent. The Social Democrats ran on an explicit anti-war and non-interventionist policy and promised to withdraw Sierran troops from the region, as well as negotiate "long-lasting peace and mutual respect" with Tournesol and the United Commonwealth. The Christian Democrats have adopted a similar positions opposing Sierran involvement in the conflict, but also seeking to adopt a stronger foreign policy against the United Commonwealth.

Immigration reform[edit]

The issue of immigration reform and law was a major electoral issue. The Royalists remained committed towards tightening national borders with Mexico and to enact a constitutional amendment that would modify Sierra's unrestricted jus soli laws to a restricted version. Controversy over anchor babies and birth tourists from various countries, particularly China, became the subject of national discussion by 2018. In addition, the Royalist Party supported tougher measures against illegal immigrants and non-permanent residents who committed crimes on Sierran soil, including forcible deportation or long-term detention. Heartwell also expressed her desire to impose smaller immigration quota sizes which would become merit-based rather than Sierra's traditional family-based and lottery systems. There was also a growing movement within the Royalist Party to push Heartwell and her government to consider withdrawing Sierra from the Lincoln Area and its agreement without leaving the CAS outright as a means to protect the country's borders from illegal immigration and terrorism.

The Democratic-Republicans and Social Democrats both ran on platforms explicitly rejecting the Royalists' proposals on immigration. Both parties promoted a policy of amnesty and creating an easier pathway to citizenship for undocumented people. They also backed sanctuary cities which resisted the federal government's attempt to seize and deport undocumented persons residing in such jurisdictions where local law enforcement were instructed not to cooperate with federal immigration police.

Other issues[edit]

Other issues that have been brought up in the election has been healthcare which has become a major issue. The Democratic-Republicans, Social Democrats and Green Party have all defended the existing system of universal access to healthcare. The Social Democrats have proposed nationalizing the public healthcare system completely and have it modeled after the National Health Service in the United Kingdom with the Greens also supporting a similar motion. Maggie Chan has openly protecting the current health care system where privately owned health facilities continue to operate while they are publicly funded through tax dollars which grants people choice in their healthcare providers while also eliminating medical debt at the provincial-level. Both the Royalists and Libertarians have supported deregulating the health care system and privatizing provincial health care systems. The free market healthcare system is favored especially by the Libertarians which stated that "only the free market can bring about true access to healthcare far better than any government can do" on their official platform online. The Libertarians have further pushed towards abolishing the Seventeenth Amendment to the K.S. Constitution, which declares access to health care to be a constitutional right. The Christian Democrats have called for a public option with the party open to a nationalizing publicly funded healthcare program, but are hesitant to abolish private insurance outright according to senior public officials and representatives from the Christian Democratic Party.

The Social Democrats have incorporated workplace democratization into its platform and has promised to introduce legislation that would mandate companies or businesses seeking to undertake an initial public offer or undergo mergers or acquisitions to offer the company's ownership and assets to its workers with the right of first refusal. It would support companies and businesses that convert into worker cooperatives and provide state funding to them.

Amid the coronavirus national stay-at-home orders, millions of Sierrans filed for unemployment benefits and business loans. Parliament passed the Coronavirus Economic Stimulus Relief Act (CERSA), which distributed between $1,200 to $2,400 one-time checks to eligible Sierran adult citizens and $500 for their dependents. The unprecedented bill brought the issue of universal basic income into the national spotlight, which drew support across the mainstream political spectrum. The Royalists and Christian Democrats have supported distributing $1,200 per month for the duration of the coronavirus pandemic, while the Democratic-Republicans proposed higher at $2,000. The Social Democrats and Greens have both proposed introducing permanent universal basic income, at $2,000 per month during the pandemic and $1,000 after it ends. The Libertarians were the only major party to reject any form of universal basic income, arguing that the government should reopen business as soon as possible to allow workers to return to work.

Online campaigning[edit]

The use of social media marketing was heavily used during the election. All of the six main contesting parties engaged in a highly interactive campaign to connect to online users and supporters. The Democratic-Republicans and Social Democrats had the largest share of user engagement and content popularity on Twitter and Instagram, while the Royalists and Libertarians had more engagement on Facebook posts. Nemesis Heartwell had a disproportionately high number of campaigning tweets on Twitter where she frequently expressed her thoughts on the election and shared her policy plans with users, as well as attacked rival party leaders and members. Other social media platforms including Snapchat, Discord, Reddit, and TikTok were used as well through by official party marketing teams and unofficial supporter-led communities.

The monarchy was the most tweeted topic for the Democratic-Republicans (~45% of tweets), the Royalists, and the Libertarians (~35% of tweets each). The Social Democrats focused on health, the environment, and social welfare. The environment was the top issue for the Green Party (45%~), while taxation was central to both the Royalists and Libertarians (30%~).

Television debates[edit]

Within hours of the election officially starting, Democratic-Republican leader Maggie Chan, Social Democrats leader Susan Kwon, and Green leader Jonathan Mueller all called for television debates to be held as soon as possible. On February 21, RBS announced it would host the first debate on February 23 and hosted by Mark Makovec, who became the youngest debate host and moderator in the history of Sierran federal elections. The debate attracted over 6.5 million live viewers and was streamed by an additional 1.7 million. Polls conducted after the debate indicated most viewers were impressed by Kwon's performance, while similar praise was accorded to Chan and Lavallée. Heartwell was criticized for appearing unprepared, defensive, and standoffish during her first debate, which she claimed was due to biased questions by Makovec.

On February 26, 16ON hosted the debate with Jackie Nuttall as the lead moderator and host. Only the leaders of the top five polling parties were invited. During the debate, the main issues raised by the moderators were on the economy, the role of monarchy, and women's rights. Heartwell was praised for being more well-prepared compared to her previous performance with RBS. Newstar declared that her performance was "her best yet" and similar attention was drawn to Maggie Chan and Susan Kwon. During the debate, Chan and Kwon sparred over their roles as the leaders of Sierra's apparent leftward trajectory. Chan criticized Kwon and her party for polarizing the political sphere and dividing the left. She also referenced Kwon's alleged past connections with Antimo and other anti-republican extremist groups. Kwon attacked Chan as a political opportunist and accepting over $750,000 in campaign contributions from wealthy corporate donors during the 2017 federal elections.

On March 6, another debate was held at Sierra National University and a lot of attention, anticipation and tension was built up as the debate was being held two days after Heartwell ordered the Sierran Crown Armed Forces to intervene in the Tourneser Freedom Front insurgency against the United Commonwealth and Tournesol sparking the Three-Day War. As Heartwell was overseeing Sierran military operations during this time, she was absent from the debate and was instead represented by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Lee who served as the Royalist leader on stage. During the debate, Lee was the only leader who defended the intervention while every other candidate condemned it with Zelda Winnifred of the Continentalist Party condemning Lee and accused him of defending an illegal offensive war. Both Maggie Chan and Susan Kwon accused the Royalists of violating Tournesol's sovereignty and for starting the war to increase her poll numbers. While Kwon and Chan were praised and received increased support in the polls, Maximilian Lavallée had received the most attention for his passionate speech against the war and denounced the Royalists for "abandoning the moral, fiscal and political responsibilities inherit to conservatism for egoistical, selfish and corrupt interests". Lavallée received increased approval ratings and the Christian Democratic Party saw an outpour of support with many analysts calling the debate Lavallée's night.

On March 13, due to the coronavirus pandemic, all of the major television networks announced that all upcoming and planned debates would be cancelled. RBS announced it was considering holding a virtual debate, while Sierran social media called for similar measures with online, livestreamed debates conducted over Facebook Live, YouTube, Zoom, or similar platforms.

2020 Sierran federal election debates in Federal Sierra
Date Organizers Venue Location Viewing figures
(millions)
 P  Present   S  Surrogate   NI  Not invited   A  Absent   I  Invited   N  No debate  
Roy DRPS Lib SDS Green CDP Com Con
February 24, 2020 RBS
Election Central
University of Sierra, Porciúncula Porciúncula, Gold Coast 6.5 (live)
1.7 (streaming)
P
Heartwell
P
Chan
P
Didbal
P
Kwon
P
Mueller
P
Lavallée
A
Morrison
A
Winnifred
February 26, 2020 16ON
Debate Hall
Hall of the Champions Fort Travis, Kings 5.9 (live)
1.3 (streaming)
P
Heartwell
P
Chan
P
Didbal
P
Kwon
P
Mueller
NI
Lavallée
NI
Morrison
NI
Winnifred
February 28, 2020 EBN
Election Special
Tibbets Theater Riverside, Inland Empire 5.3 (live)
0.8 (streaming)
P
Heartwell
P
Chan
P
Didbal
P
Kwon
NI
Mueller
NI
Lavallée
NI
Morrison
NI
Winnifred
March 2, 2020 Tokki
Sierra Votes
Grand Theater Pavilion Sacramento, Tahoe 6.0 (live)
1.3 (streaming)
P
Heartwell
P
Chan
P
Didbal
P
Kwon
P
Mueller
P
Lavallée
P
Morrison
P
Winnifred
March 6, 2020 RBS
Election Central
Sierra National University, Grands Ballons Grands Ballons, Gold Coast 6.3 (live)
1.0 (streaming)
S
Lee
P
Chan
P
Didbal
P
Kwon
P
Mueller
P
Lavallée
P
Morrison
P
Winnifred

Campaign events[edit]

All participating parties have used various methods of campaigning since the snap-election has been called. Traditional methods have been used, but online methods have also been used specially by many Democratic-Republicans, the Social Democrats, Green Party and Christian Democrats. Social media has been a major source of campaigning as the Royalists and Libertarians have used Facebook to promote the party's platform and candidates while Twitter, Instagram and Snapchat have been used by the Greens, Social Democrats, Democratic-Republicans, and Christian Democrats to promote their message and policies. Party leaders have been campaigning for various candidates in many districts, especially contested ones, while a unique method has been used; MPs that changed from one party to another campaigning for their new party and reaching out to voters and members of their old party to convince them to change their mind and support a new party. Lavallée has been known for campaigning for former Royalists who joined the Christian Democratic Party and reaching out to Royalist voters while the same method has been used by Susan Kwon with former Dem-Rep MPs who joined the Social Democrats and by Chan with former Royalist MPs who became Democratic-Republicans.

Endorsements[edit]

Major newspapers[edit]

Newspaper Endorsement Notes
Appleton Daily Green Party "Our planet is reaching a breaking point and only Mueller and the Green Party are dedicated to solving the climate crisis which is the greatest of our generation and thus earns our endorsement."
Christian Reviewer Christian Democratic "We enthusiastically and wholeheartedly endorse the Christian Democrats as the principled party of choice for the Biblically-conscious, faith-based Christian voter during these politically abrasive times."
Fort Travis Chronicle Royalist "Despite recent controversy, the Royalists remain the trustful stalwart of conservative values and business friendly policies that has transformed this country into a thriving, strong economy."
Grands Ballons Observer Social Democrats "The Social Democrats are the only ones who can defeat the Royalist political machine and bring change to an antiquated system of failed Tory economics."
L'Héraut du Pacifique Royalist "The Channel Islands owes its existence to the strong leadership of the Royalists and their commitment to the cultural and social values which Channeliers hold onto dearly."
Las Vegas Star Reporter Royalist "Conservatives and lovers of liberty must remain united under the Royalist banner this election to preserve and defend the very future of this country. Enemies of business and the family threaten to tear down everything that has been built in the past decade."
Les Mers Democratic-Republican "It is time to bring forth real change to the Channels and the Kingdom by electing the Democratic-Republicans."
New Rotterdam Journal Democratic-Republican "Margaret Chan and the Democratic-Republicans stand the best chance at preserving our liberal democracy, and stopping the rise of right-wing authoritarianism seen on the right and increasingly within the Royalist Party."
Porciúncula Times Democratic-Republican "The Democratic-Republican Party is the only major party suitable for those who support common sense, responsible reform that are not focused on ideological purism or extremism."
Riverside Tribune Royalist "An electoral win for the Royalists is a must and the only guaranteed decision to halt the advance of socialism and hellbent progressivism in this country."
San Francisco Examiner Social Democrats "We fully embrace and endorse the Social Democrats as the party capable of amassing a diverse coalition of voters, especially people of color and LGBTQ+ people who have been marginalized and long ignored by the establishment."
San Jose Inquiry Democratic-Republican "The survival of our democracy, the push for change and the preservation of the Styxie and its values rests on restoring the Democratic-Republicans to power and to end the corrupt reign of Nemesis Heartwell and the increasingly authoritarian Royalist Party."
The Bernheim Courier-Journal Democratic-Republican "The Styxie's continued survival can only be done by restoring Democratic-Republican control over the Royalist menace that has divided this nation apart over the detestable institution of monarchy and worship of greed."
The Bunker Hill Journal Royalist "The Journal stands for the Royalists who share pro-business and liberal values – the party is a shining example of a well-functioning liberal democracy."
The Daily Palm None "The current electoral cycle is a completely dismal and disheartening circus. The integrity and virtues of the New Culture has been tarnished to such a degree that we cannot conscientiously endorse any party."
The Unionist Democratic-Republican "The Democratic-Republicans are the only ones who support business, the middle class, and public employees without calling for systematic revolution or defending a corrupt institution that hides pedophiles behind closed doors."
Voice of Ukiah Social Democrats "The time has come for true change, true progress, and true reform. Both the Royalists and Democratic-Republicans have proven unreliable to bringing about true change, a task only Kwon and the Social Democrats are capable of doing."

Major magazines[edit]

Organization Endorsement Notes
Connect Democratic-Republican "Voting for the Democratic-Republicans would be the most pragmatic choice for those who desire social justice and economic equality without alienating half the country due to the lingering, chilling effects of the Red Scare."
Newstar Royalist "The Royalist Party, for all of its faults, remains the only party truly committed towards earnest conservative values and market-oriented policies. With a growing legion of leftists and cultural Marxists, everyone who is marginally right of Comrade Chan needs to support the Royalists."
People of Bernheim Democratic-Republican "The people of San Joaquin and the Styxie will risk losing their values and dedication to republicanism if the criminal Royalist Party remains in power. To stop them and preserve our identity, we must vote for the Democratic-Republicans."
The Pacific Social Democrats "The Social Democrats offer fresh, exciting, and radical ideas that will propel Sierra forward, not backward as it moves towards a fairer, greener, and more equitable society. Voting for the Social Democrats is necessary for the progressive movement."
The Mulholland Monitor Royalist "The editorial staff at The Mulholland Monitor endorses the Royalist Party as the sound choice for the continued success of this nation."

Other publications[edit]

Organization Endorsement Notes
Friends of the Commonwealth Continentalist "By electing into power the Continentalist Party, the failings of the monarchy and royal system will be swept away and a new union with the United Commonwealth shall bring about the equality, progress, and true democracy Sierra deserves."
Workers of Sierra Communist "The time has come for the abolition of the monarchy and for the creation of a new, revolutionary union under the grinding principals of Landon, Marx and the leadership of Chairman Morrison."

Television networks[edit]

Network Endorsement Notes
RBS None "While individual members of the RBS have their own thoughts and opinions, the RBS as a network and an organization will remain neutral throughout the debate and endorse no party as a means of preserving journalistic neutrality and to avoid bias."
Faithful Hour Christian Democrats "The Christian Democrats have shown themselves to be the only party willing to govern in the spirit of Christ and will prevent true Judeo-Christian values from being corrupted by the influence of green hypocrisy and irresponsible governance."

Labor unions and non-profit organizations[edit]

Organization Endorsement Notes
Clark Hospitality, Entertainment, & Culinary Union Royalist
Libertarian
Christian Democratic
"The Royalist, Libertarian, and Christian Democratic Parties are the only ones which supports the right-to-work laws and protects the interests of workers by promoting competitive wages, flexibility in the labor market, and productive relationships between workers and employers."
Health Care Workers International Union Democratic-Republican "We must continue the fight for all union members and workers by backing the Democratic-Republicans in their bid to take back our country from worker-hostile politics."
Federation of Food, Commercial, and Retail Workers Social Democrats "Support the Social Democrats of Sierra – the party that will fight for a living wage, greater workers' protection, and taxing the greedy corporations."
National Association of Royal Letter Carriers Social Democrats "The NARLC endorses the Social Democrats of Sierra for the 2020 election and lends its fullest support for its campaign, candidates, and platform."
National Federation for Sierran Women Democratic-Republican
Social Democrats
Green
"The NFSW calls on Sierran women to support progressive candidates from the Democratic-Republicans, Social Democrats, and Greens who will protect a woman's right to choose what she wants for her own body, protect a woman's place and worth in the workforce, protect a woman's right to take care of her own children without repercussion, and protect a woman's right to the same rights that men enjoy."
National Reproductive Rights Advocacy Network Democratic-Republican
Social Democrats
Greens
"We need to continue supporting progressive parties which will expand funding and access to planned family clinics and ensure that women have the freedom of choice to determine what happens to their bodies and their futures. They will promote a sex-positive culture that encourages responsible family planning and a safe space for all."
NACL-FIO Social Democrats "The North American Congress of Labor-Federation of Industrial Organizations (NACL-FIO) has issued a general membership vote open to all Sierran members in good standing, and in accordance with the office of the General Secretary we are proud to endorse the Social Democrats of Sierra for the 2020 general election. While we allow for individual unions to continue and endorse their respective candidates, the broad coalition of workers has spoken. We believe as an organization that the Social Democrat's pro-labor policies will further the objective and goals of the middle class."
National Rifle Association of Sierra Royalist
Libertarian
"The NRAS stands by the Royalists and Libertarians as the only parties which will stand for every free Sierran citizen's right to bear arms and fight for our constitutional liberties."
Republic Social Democrats "Never has there been a greater opportunity or chance since the 1970s will there be when a major political party such as the Social Democrats has decided to run on a platform firmly supporting political republicanism. The time has come to finally abolish and eradicate the monarchy once and for all."
Sierran Federation of Provincial, County, and Municipal Employees Democratic-Republican "The Democratic-Republicans have shown time after time that they will defend public employees' pensions, wages, health care benefits, and unemployment benefits. They will stop the Royalists from privatizing the PUBLIC sector and help keep Sierra running by helping its public employees."
Sierran Federation of Teachers Democratic-Republican "The Democratic-Republican Party remains the greatest and most effective champion for hard-working teachers throughout this country. The Federation urges its members to vote for the party this election."
Sierran National Right to Life Organization Royalist
Christian Democratic
"The Royalists under Heartwell have led a national crusade to defend the unborn who cannot defend themselves. We must show our support by securing a future for generations to come and amend our Constitution to protect the sanctity of human life from the moment of conception to death."
Sierran Postal Workers Union Democratic-Republican "SPWU officially supports the Democratic-Republican Party of Sierra in the upcoming 2020 election and recommends union members to vote and support the party and its candidates."
Styxie Democratic Coalition Democratic-Republican
Social Democrats
"The Styxie faces a serious threat to its values and identity from Heartwell and her corrupt Royalist Party and their allies in the Libertarians. Only the Democratic-Republicans and Social Democrats are willing to defend the Styxie and its identity while bringing much needed reforms and change to both the region and the rest of Sierra as a whole."
United Agricultural Union of Shasta Green "Shasta, Sierra and the rest of the world face a serious crisis in the form of climate change and the Green Party is the only party that will seriously combat the issue. As a result, we endorse Mueller and the Green Party for Sierra."
United Warehouse Workers of Sierra Social Democrats "The UWWS believes that the best choice for warehouse workers, truck drivers, and other workers in the logistics industry will be by supporting the Social Democrats of Sierra due to their steadfast commitment to worker's rights, expansion of employment benefits, and a federally mandated minimum wage of $15."

Individuals[edit]

  • Jared Savage endorsed Maggie Chan and the Democratic-Republicans and called for Heartwell to be removed from office. He also voiced support for a DRPS-led coalition government with the Greens and Social Democrats.
  • Patrick Peterson, Governor of San Francisco, endorsed Susan Kwon on February 21st saying "Ms. Kwon will bring the change that is long overdue and is guaranteed to bring."
  • James Nichols Conway, journalist and commentator of The Bunker Hill Journal, broke rank with his paper and endorsed both Susan Kwon of the Social Democrats and Maggie Chan of the Democratic-Republican Party.
  • George Falwell, Christian preacher and speaker, endorsed the Christian Democrats calling them the "new conservative party Sierra's faithful followers of Christ desperately need."
  • Carmelo Murphy, MAP for Orange and Christian Democrat founder, endorsed Lavallée and called him "the party's greatest blessing" and will campaign for him if able to.

Media coverage[edit]

Party representation[edit]

According to Mulholland University's Media and Journalism Research Center, media coverage of the initial weeks of the campaign was dominated by the top three polling parties: the governing Royalists, the Democratic-Republicans, and the Social Democrats. Considerable coverage was given to the Greens and Christian Democrats, both of whom were regarded as emerging parties with the potential to cause significant spoiler effect.

In television coverage, Nemesis Heartwell received the most coverage, although she shared the largest proportion of negative coverage. 16ON and Tokki Network were particularly hostile with their news anchors and political pundits devoting most of their attacks and criticisms of the Royalist government towards her. In comparison, EBN News aired a generally positive coverage of Heartwell, as well as the Libertarian leader Ravinder Didbal. RBS was noted for airing mainly neutral and equal coverage of the top seven polling parties. Maggie Chan received mainly positive coverage from most Sierran mainstream news outlets, while mixed coverage was aired of her rival, Susan Kwon. During the second week, negative coverage of Kwon doubled as she and her party began polling competitively well against the Democratic-Republicans.

During and immediately following the Three-Day War, press coverage on both television and newspapers were overwhelmingly negative against Heartwell. The sinking of HRMS Frank Augustus Miller was widely regarded as a major blow to Heartwell's credibility as a leader and caused a rare case of the pro-Royalist and pro-Heartwell EBN to condemn the conflict and its losses.

Dominant issues[edit]

Although the electoral process was one of the most covered topics of the election period, the most prominent policy issues were initially the monarchy (25% on the news and 19% on the press), the economy (19% and 15% respectively), and health care (15% and 13%). Foreign policy, war, and the CAS became the dominant issue during and following the Three-Day War. Growing tensions in the Styxie and the future of Sierra's political environment also received significant coverage in both television and press.

Opinion polling[edit]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Area Sample
size
Royals Dem Reps Liberty Soc Dems Greens Christ Dems Commun Continent Hawaii Other Lead
YouGov/Bernheim Courier Journal Mar 11–23 Sierra 7,234 14.7% 24.7% 8.1% 23.4% 9.6% 13.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.9% 1.3%
Agrapoll/The San Francisco Examiner Mar 12–20 Sierra 4,788 14.8% 23.1% 8.2% 24.9% 9.4% 13.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 1.8%
Trigrex ODAP/The Bunker Hill Journal Mar 15–20 Sierra 4,322 14.9% 25.1% 8.1% 23.3% 9.3% 13.1% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.8%
Reuters/Les Mars Mar 5–15 Sierra 9,844 15.1% 24.8% 9.2% 23.4% 8.5% 12.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4%
Mar 14 Elections postponed to May 1 due to coronavirus pandemic
Reuters/New Rotterdam Journal Mar 4–11 Sierra 6,133 15.3% 24.4% 9.1% 23.1% 8.5% 12.4% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 1.3%
Orion/The San Francisco Examiner Mar 2–10 Sierra 11,233 15.1% 23.3% 9.3% 24.4% 8.6% 12.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1%
Big Idea/Newstar Mar 3–10 Sierra 5,181 15.3% 25.1% 9.2% 23.8% 8.7% 12.4% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 0.3% 1.3%
YouGov/Porciúncula Times Mar 3–9 Sierra 6,233 15.6% 24.7% 9.4% 23.3% 8.4% 12.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 0.5% 1.4%
Agrapoll/The Unionist Mar 2–7 Sierra 4,102 15.8% 24.3% 9.3% 23.1% 8.3% 12.3% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1% 1.2%
Mar 7 End of the Three-Day War
Agrapoll/Porciúncula Times Mar 5–6 Sierra 5,811 16.1% 23.1% 7.9% 24.6% 8.5% 11.2% 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 3.9% 1.5%
Big Idea/Bernheim Courier-Journal Mar 5–6 Sierra 6,342 17.2% 24.7% 9.8% 23.2% 7.7% 10.3% 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5%
Trigrex ODAP/The Bunker Hill Journal Mar 5 Sierra 3,833 16.3% 25.8% 10.3% 24.8% 7.0% 9.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 3.0% 1.0%
Mar 4 Sierra intervenes in the Tourneser Freedom Front insurgency
Big Idea/Newstar Mar 1–3 Sierra 7,988 21.8% 23.2% 6.8% 24.8% 7.2% 8.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 3.7% 1.6%
Agrapoll/Porciúncula Times Mar 1–3 Sierra 7,298 22.4% 23.5% 7.0% 23.6% 7.1% 8.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 4.6% 0.1%
Big Idea/Bernheim Courier-Journal Feb 21-29 Sierra 8,474 22.3% 23.7% 6.9% 22.7% 7.8% 8.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 4.1% 1.0%
Orion/Voice of Ukiah Feb 21–27 Sierra 9,728 21.8% 23.2% 6.5% 24.7% 7.7% 8.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 3.8% 1.5%
Agrapoll/The Unionist Feb 20–26 Sierra 9,823 22.1% 23.5% 7.4% 22.3% 8.2% 8.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 4.1% 1.2%
Reuters/San Fransisco Examiner Feb 21–26 Sierra 10,871 23.2% 24.9% 7.7% 23.4% 8.1% 9.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 1.5%
YouGov/Porciúncula Times Feb 20–24 Sierra 9,844 22.2% 24.0% 8.6% 23.1% 8.2% 9.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9%
Orion/The San Francisco Examiner Feb 21–24 Sierra 10,287 24.6% 24.5% 8.9% 23.1% 6.7% 7.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Trigrex ODAP/The Bunker Hill Journal Feb 22–24 Sierra 2,986 21.8% 24.0% 9.4% 24.0% 5.5% 6.6% 2.4% 1.1% 1.4% 3.8% Tie
Agrapoll/Porciúncula Times Feb 21-22 Sierra 2,408 23.0% 23.3% 9.9% 23.5% 6.1% 8.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Big Idea/Newstar Feb 21-22 Sierra 3,440 23.0% 22.9% 9.2% 22.4% 9.3% 6.2% 5.4% 0.8% 1.0% 4.4% 0.1%
Agrapoll/Porciúncula Times Feb 19–20 Sierra 2,379 23.1% 23.4% 10.5% 22.5% 6.3% 8.4% 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Big Idea/Newstar Feb 19–20 Sierra 3,584 22.8% 23.0% 9.7% 22.6% 5.5% 7.7% 2.1% 1.1% 1.1% 4.4% 0.2%
Trigrex ODAP/The Bunker Hill Journal Feb 19–21 Sierra 3,006 21.7% 23.9% 9.6% 24.0% 5.4% 6.9% 2.3% 1.0% 1.5% 3.7% 0.1%
YouGov/Reuters Feb 19–21 Sierra 3,214 22.1% 24.2% 9.1% 21.8% 5.8% 8.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.4% 3.2% 2.1%

Predictions two months before the vote[edit]

Parties Road to 139 Elections Sierra House Calculus Parliament Central
Royalists
60
59
60
61
Democratic-Republicans
66
64
67
63
Libertarians
18
17
18
16
Social Democrats
65
62
65
64
Greens
15
15
16
14
Christian Democrats
22
21
20
22
Communists
2
1
0
0
Continentalists
1
1
0
0
Hawaiian Sovereignty
2
1
1
2
Others
25
35
29
34
Overall result (probability) Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 3 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 2 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 2 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Social Democrats 1 seat plurality

Predictions seven weeks before the vote[edit]

Parties Road to 139 Elections Sierra House Calculus Parliament Central
Royalists
42
45
51
46
Democratic-Republicans
64
66
70
66
Libertarians
25
24
22
23
Social Democrats
67
67
68
67
Greens
23
21
20
22
Christian Democrats
33
32
28
32
Communists
4
3
2
3
Continentalists
5
4
2
4
Hawaiian Sovereignty
4
3
2
3
Others
9
11
10
10
Overall result (probability) Hung parliament
Social Democrats 3 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Social Democrats 1 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 2 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Social Democrats 1 seat plurality

Predictions six weeks before the vote[edit]

Parties Road to 139 Elections Sierra House Calculus Parliament Central
Royalists
40
43
53
48
Democratic-Republicans
65
66
67
64
Libertarians
21
23
22
23
Social Democrats
65
64
66
65
Greens
24
21
22
22
Christian Democrats
34
31
30
30
Communists
3
3
3
2
Continentalists
4
3
3
3
Hawaiian Sovereignty
3
3
3
2
Others
17
19
10
19
Overall result (probability) Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican and
Social Democrats split
Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 2 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Democratic-Republican 1 seat plurality
Hung parliament
Social Democrats 1 seat plurality

Predictions five weeks before the vote[edit]

Predictions one month before the vote[edit]

Predictions three weeks before the vote[edit]

Predictions two weeks before the vote[edit]

Predictions one week before the vote[edit]

Final predictions[edit]

Exit poll[edit]

Results[edit]

Summary[edit]

73 71 70 32 14 12 3 1
Social Democrat Democratic-Republican Royalist Christian Democrat Libert. Green H C
Party Votes Seats
Social Democrats 10,566,968
28.02%
73 / 276 (26%)
Democratic-Republican 9,681,741
25.6%
71 / 276 (26%)
Royalist 9,609,884
25.41%
70 / 276 (25%)
Christian Democratic 3,868,915
10.23%
32 / 276 (12%)
Libertarian 2,011,986
5.32%
14 / 276 (5%)
Green 1,565,719
4.03%
12 / 276 (4%)
Hawaiian Sovereignty 123,278
0.32%
3 / 276 (1%)
Continentalist 370,629
0.98%
1 / 276 (0.4%)

2020 Sierran House of Commons.svg

Full results[edit]

Analysis[edit]

See also[edit]